Judge led the league with 22 intentional walks last season, and still hit 58 home runs. That was coming off a 2022 campaign in which he shattered the AL record with 62 bombs, posted a 1.111 OPS, and claimed MVP honors. In 2023, he was on pace for another massive year before a freak toe injury derailed the summer.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. raised his bat high and angled his body as though attempting to steer his seventh-inning drive, savoring the ensuing celebration as his second home run of the game capped a historic weekend.

The only thing standing between Judge and another MVP trophy is, quite simply, his health. A freak injury could throw a wrench into what promises to be an incredible season. But with odds sitting at -110 to -130, that ship has pretty much sailed on betting Judge for MVP. The value is gone.

Aaron Judge is the hottest hitter in baseball. How many home runs will the 2024 AL MVP hit? Here are his odds and more on the Yankees captain.