In its most recent update, Thunberg was followed by Wikileaks founder Julian Assange with a 12.5 percent chance of winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, then documentary maker David Attenborough on 10 percent, and the International Court of Justice with 7.7 percent.

President Donald Trump has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize several times, sometimes by multiple people in the same year. Most people said he should receive the prize for his efforts in the Middle East and his attempts to keep the United States out of long-term conflicts.