When StatsNZ produces the data here, it was purely descriptive: number go sideways, number go down, number go up. The use on ...

Here are the predictions for the Semi-finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away ...

Here are the predictions for Round 15. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Here are the predictions for the Super Rugby Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the ...

Here are the predictions for the Semi-finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away ...

So far there have been 113 matches played, 71 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.8%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Here are the predictions for the Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Here are the predictions for the Quarter-finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away ...

According to the Herald, the government has decided to stop doing the Census after the next (2028) round and switch to yearly administrative data from 2030. The press release is here, and StatsNZ’s ...

Here are the predictions for Round 16. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

So, the data do show a “hotspot for cone concerns”, but it’s Wellington, not Auckland. This could mean more cones, or streets ...